20190901 Hurricane Dorian. Category 5! "Strongest Hurricane in Modern History".

Update: 8:00pm, Advisory #34 — Hurricane Dorian is a rare Category 5 Hurricane, with 185mph winds, gusts to 220mph, moving west at 5mph, and strengthening pressure down to 915 millibars (seems to have stabilized/no longer decreasing pressure and strengthening). The larger update is from September 1, at 8:00pm Eastern Time. The Landfall Update below is from NHC (12:45pm). The latest report from the National Hurricane Center is dire. Hurricane watches and warnings have been posted for almost all of the eastern coast of Florida. As of 10:45am, mandatory evacuation for Palm Beach County, Zone B. Seven shelters have opened, some are pet friendly.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL052019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/205313_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL052019_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34+png/145814_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34.png

The Bahamas are going to receive significant damage. The clouds have that “belly of the beast” look about them. Everyone in the Bahamas understands how severe this hurricane will be. Send a prayer

https://twitter.com/_Montana_Bound_/status/1168164472185335808

For the US mainland, we’re still not sure where the storm will come ashore but Georgia and the Carolinas are now on watch. MOST of the forecasting indicates the storm will turn north sooner than expected…. or will it?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL052019_key_messages+png/113611_key_messages_sm.png

Sadie finds the greatest videos for this hurricane.

From the White House.

Ken Graham is Head of the National Hurricane Center and I’m in love with this guy. He’s EVERYWHERE on the news. Working hard, no complaints, calm, cool, and collected + extremely informative. He gets a raise!!

Almost everyone who lives in the southeast has a family “plan” for hurricanes. An exceptionally good Hurricane checklist can be found HERE: https://www.surfandsunshine.com/how-to-prepare-for-a-hurricane-with-hurricane-preparedness-checklist/

We can add things like: Make sure you do ALL your laundry NOW and refill all medications. A well stocked, expanded, home first aid kit. An extra set of blades for a chainsaw is a Godsend. Bleach and clean all the tubs in your home and fill with water before the storm hits (if you’re staying). Right now, bake – cookies, brownies, granola bars for a healthy boost…… and share with your local fireman/police. Right now, FREEZE extra water in big containers using milk jugs/2 liter bottles, etc., to make big blocks of ice. Extra propane for the grill and a big pot to boil water.

Best personal hint: We took about 100 dish clothes/wash clothes and wet them with fresh water, added a few drops of bleach, sealed them in Glad Bags and put them in the freezer. In the aftermath, we used those towels everywhere.

Many residents are new to the state and we strongly encourage they prepare and/or rely on neighbors who are a little more experienced with hurricane preparations. KNOW your neighbors, you won’t get through the aftermath of a hurricane without help from a few friendly souls.

Please feel free to add tips, tricks, memes, hints, prayers related to Hurricane Dorian. Thank you for your help.

The President is at Camp David, Pence will travel to Poland. The President will return for a press conference at FEMA on Sunday, about 12:30pm

Take care, God Bless, Love to all. This one is serious. Storm surge in the Bahamas is expected to be 15-20feet high. Waves on top of storm surge, according to Weather Channel are topping 40′ high.

Dark rainy cloud coming towards Grand Turk Island (Turks and Caicos Islands).
https://twitter.com/_Montana_Bound_/status/1168161485039833088

Check out the video from the EYE of DORIAN.

https://twitter.com/BreakingNLive/status/1168220497412337664
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Plain Jane

All you Qpers who are in the path or have loved ones in the path of Dorian are in my prayers. Well, ALL in the path are in my prayers. Also, asking God to send it out to where no one will be harmed by it, or to just please dissipate it.

phoenixrising37

Again, thank you Daughn for your time and efforts in bringing these Posts to us…. this week-end you have had TRIPLE + Duty…..
You are so correct that QTreepers have rendered a team effort – WWG1WGA !
LUV this treehouse!

phoenixrising37

Can’t say it better than Plain Jane has ………………
Continuing to pray for all in this monster storm’s path………….
God Bless those who are working to keep us updated and protected.

phoenixrising37

That’s a beautiful image !

Linda

Well, if that storm track holds, once it gets past the Bahamas the eye won’t hit land until it gets to N. Carolina. And by then, it will be weaker. However, it’s wide enough that it will still bring a lot of rain and storm surge. The Bahamas are what I’m worried about. I really hope whoever lives there has left for the lower islands or elsewhere. They’re going to get a direct hit. Are they a US territory?

Deplorable Patriot

Yep. Love the Bahamas.

wheatietoo

This storm is reminding us how difficult it is to predict what a Hurricane will do…
For example, this time yesterday the forecast models were predicting a direct hit on Florida.
And now…many are saying that it won’t.
But some are still saying that it will:

.
I remember watching Hurricane Andrew…and the forecasters were predicting that it would go straight North.
Then…it made a left turn and went right across South Florida.
It’s best to be prepared for the worst than not be prepared, though.

Sadie Slays

(Re-posting this link from the last thread). The NHC has an animated history of the storm’s forecast cones, so you can see how the official forecast has changed over time.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2019/DORIAN_graphics.php?product=5day_cone_with_line

Sadie Slays

Found this elsewhere:
“Dorian Gray: Storm stays the same, forecast models age.”

Wolf Moon | Threat to Demonocracy

Love it! Classics of the scientific literature!

Sadie Slays

NEW CONE – Mar-a-Lago in the Tropical Storm Warning areacomment image

Sadie Slays

There’s speculation elsewhere that the storm is actually a Category 5, but the NHC is refusing to make it official for various reasons.

Sadie Slays
wheatietoo

The Bahamas are about to get pounded on:

smiley2

just now saw where the sustained winds are 174 mph, with gusts at 200 mph
can’t even begin to comprehend that.
how terrifying.

Deplorable Patriot

Crossing my fingers, but I have a bad feeling we’ll have house guests tomorrow. I’m just hoping my aunt and cousins are okay in the Daytona area. Stubborn woman won’t leave.

Dora

Bad News.

smiley2

andyocoregon

From what I’ve heard about hurricanes, when they slow way down in very warm waters, it’s a sign they are strengthening and that’s just what this one seems to have done.
I would not want to be anywhere in the Bahamas right now. I’m sure it’s way too late to evacuate.

smiley2
smiley2

latest…
Globalcomment image
GFScomment image
CMCcomment image
Intensity Guidecomment image
…and will automatically update.
prayers for all, everywhere, affected by this.
massive prayers for The Bahamas …and the people there who are unable to leave(evacuate from) those islands.

smiley2

comment imagecomment image?v=1567174153&w=678&h=381
Miami Orders Scooters Removed From Streets Before DORIAN Turns Them Into Flying Projectiles
https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/miami-orders-scooters-removed-streets-hurricane-dorian-turns-them-flying-n1048311
Aug 30, 2019
FTA….Officials told 6 companies that operate fleets in the city ~ Bird, Bolt, Uber’s Jump, Lime, Lyft and Spin ~ to clear out their scooters by noon on Friday. (Aug 30).
several of those same companies have also been removed, or reduced their fleets, in Orlando, Ft. Lauderdale and Tampa …ahead of Dorian.
more, at the link.
smart move, Miami.

smiley2

oops…2d image up there glitched…so…posting it here…maybe…comment image

duchess01

PRAYER FOR ENCOURAGEMENT
Father God
We come to You humbly before the Throne of Grace – in the name of Jesus – we pray for Encouragement as we prepare for the storm to come.
We ask You to quell our apprehension, fear, and trepidation for we know not what we will be required to do in the coming days.
We ask You to help us prepare physically, mentally, and spiritually to battle the forces of evil that are guiding this storm.
We ask You to assist us with our domestic animals to calm them and bring them to safety.
We put our Trust solely in You – we believe in Your promise never to leave or abandon us in our hour of need.
We put our Hope solely in You – we believe Jesus is the Hope for the future – that He has the power to calm this storm.
We put our Faith solely in You – we believe You want what is best for us – and because You love us – we are not afraid.
We ask You protect the President, his family, our country, our friends and families – keep them out of harm’s way.
We ask You take this storm in Your Mighty Hands – and cast it out to sea – leaving all in its path safe and secure.
We ask You take hold of the wind – the water – and the power behind this storm – and reduce its hold over the land.
We ask You empower the people – to do as Your Son asked them -to love one another as He loved us.
We pray the Lord’s Prayer – knowing you will provide what we need – when we need it – by the Power of Your Spirit.
We acknowledge Your unconditional Love for us – and we believe Your Love will sustain us.
We ask it all in the Precious and Holy Name of Jesus – Amen.comment image

grandmaintexas

Beautiful. Thank you.

duchess01

Most welcome, grandma – please remember to add your friends and family – to the prayer – God knows your heart – but, He likes to hear from everyone – God Bless You!!!

grandmaintexas

On it. 🙏

Chris

Amen.

amplifyouredge

Amen.

wheatietoo

https://twitter.com/jamesogrady216/status/1168145747268628481?s=20

smiley2

if you click on #HurricaneDorian (blue hi lite) up there, it will take you a lot of related tweets…
like this one…from Abaco/Bahamas/Dorian…

smiley2

tsk ! will take you to a lot of related tweets.
tad sluggish this am 🙁

wheatietoo

Thanks, Smiley…yeah that’s where I found that sunrise clip above.
🙂

GA/FL

That eye in the center of Dorian is both striking and scary….so uniform and concentric….. the wind is so strong 160+ that it will be extremely destructive.

wheatietoo

Short video…current conditions in Bahamas:

GA/FL

PRESIDENT TRUMP is taking this storm seriously:

wheatietoo

What a monster!

Wolf Moon | Threat to Demonocracy

23 feet of water (approaching tsunami) and 200 mph winds (approaching tornado) – this is monstrous!

smiley2

comment image
<3 <3 <3comment image
tears falling
homes
and islands
and memories
being destroyed
<3 Bahamas

smiley2

DORIAN…seen from Space… NASA and NOAA …animated GIFS
article and images, here….
https://www.space.com/hurricane-dorian-satellite-gifs-nasa-noaa.html

duchess01

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋

duchess01

GA/FL

Extreme seems to be the word most used to describe Dorian:

Any wiggle to the left…..and the eastern coast states will be devastated.

MAGA Mom

I lived in hurricane country for almost 20 yrs, several hours inland but still got whacked hard a number of times. Learn much and have shared all of my tips learn multiple times (while still together back at OT). Most everything I would say has generally already been shared.
Here is a tip that I learned just last year when trying to help a internet friend stuck in the aftermath of a hurricane. I had never thought to do this in all of the years I lived through hurricanes in hurricane country so thought I would share today.
If you may be affected by the storm, on the coast or inland, have the numbers of the various agencies handy and ready to use. You, of course, will charge up your cell phone to max but will want to conserve the charge after loosing power and will want to search the internet as little as possible. Plus, cell phone coverage may be spotty.
Now (or in the future to have ready for next time) get the phone numbers of the gov agencies esp. fema, city/county & state departments that will be dealing with the storms and emergency services. Find out the local orgs that will bring food in case you need to conserve gas or where the food drops/give out stations will be. Have your insurance agent’s number, corp number and policies ready. Have the number to the red cross or other groups that will be active in your area.
Once the electric is out and services are needed – whether 1 or 7 days after (sometimes it takes a while to get debris cleared to even get roads open!) you won’t want to spend time searching the internet and making calls to figure out exactly who are you supposed to call and who is there to help you.
Took me a number of hours to get a list of numbers together for the friend and to find out who was delivering food, gas and necessities and where food give away points where. The friend then had to only call the numbers with cell phone charge, minutes and coverage available to them.
Red Cross first aid stations, etc. are good to know too. And which orgs will help with debris clean up (if you are older and unable) as well as general home clean up (due to roof damage, flooding etc.). have the numbers ready so that you can call and get on the lists immediately. Esp. FEMA — sooner the better!!!!
So, make a resource and telephone number list as well as web sites so you save Much needed time and have it ready to use

smiley2

stronger than Andrew !
worst to hit Bahamas in modern history ?

andyocoregon

Gigantic storm just keeps getting stronger and more deadly by the hour.

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋

If you have them, Don’t forget to charge your portable battery bank devices. Those will provide additional power for cellphones. After Ike (electricity was out for days/weeks and roads were flooded city wide), I burned a quarter tank of gas on work conference calls in first 2 days, idling vehicle in garage for cell power. Wish I’d had power banks back then. I have since bought a 10,800 and a 22,000mah and always keep both charged and take one with me every time I leave house. That little 10,800 is over 5yrs old, just as strong as day I bought it for $23, very impressed!!! Had to get the 22,000 for iPad power demands. .

Gail Combs

An electric generator, even a small one is very very useful. We have well water and animals so we have a generator hooked up to our well.
Make sure the generator has the WATTS so it can run your frig/freezer. Just cooling them off a couple times a day will save your food if you do not open the doors. (Now is the time to eat down the frig)
We have several coolers so we use them with a block of ice for things like cream for the coffee (tea), cheeses & meats cooked before hand, hard boiled eggs in the shell, fruit, veggies like carrots & celery that can be eaten raw and keep well.
CANNED FOODS ARE YOUR FRIEND Most can be eaten cold including soups, canned tuna, salmon, chicken, ham, veggies… Stock up on crackers and double bag in sealable plastic. Plastic totes & a garbage bag are great for storing things so they do not get damp.
Do not forget things like jerky, granola bars and even candy. I like the green pea snacks Remember to get PLENTY of plastic bags of all varieties for storing food and keeping out the damp/mold.
>>>>>>>>>>>
I repeat, scrub all your tubs with bleach and then line with plastic dropcloths (Walmart paint section) fill with clean water.
Fill lots of containers with fresh water. I clean and sanitize old soda bottles with bleach for this purpose.
CHLOROX to DISINFECT WATER
https://www.clorox.com/how-to/disinfecting-sanitizing/disaster-preparation-and-cleanup/disaster-preparedness-purifying-water/

smiley2
smiley2

+ salt water rise and STORM SURGE WATCH ! FLORIDA EAST COAST.

smiley2

National Hurricane Center ~ LIVE ~ Ongoing UPDATES

smiley2

HURRICANE STATEMENT for SOUTH FLORIDA ….
https://www.google.org/publicalerts/alert?aid=376da837e1550ce7&hl=en&gl=US&source=wweather
warnings, watches, preparedness and more.

GA/FL

Dorian’s barometric pressure is very low…..

GA/FL

Extremely low and still dropping….

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋

POTUS FEMA meeting LIVE NOW!!

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋

FNC, OANN, MSNBC, Weather Channel

Dora

This sounds terrifying!
Lord Have Mercy.

mollypitcher5

Linda

mollypitcher5

mollypitcher5

smiley2

makes landfall at Elbow Cay, Abaco Islands with 185 mph sustained winds
read about, hear about and watch it, here…
https://abcnews.go.com/US/extremely-dangerous-hurricane-dorian-expected-hit-abaco-islands/story?id=65323753

andyocoregon

It’s times like this we have to appreciate the bravery and sacrifice of the hurricane hunter crews that fly through the eye of monster storms like Dorian to collect valuable data.
I heard a couple of their planes had broken windshields recently, probably from huge hail stones.
https://www.businessinsider.com/hurricane-hunters-noaa-air-force-planes-2019-8#pilots-fly-right-into-the-storms-slicing-diving-and-weaving-through-howling-winds-blinding-rain-and-violent-updrafts-and-downdrafts-before-entering-the-relative-calm-of-the-storms-eye-according-to-noaa-6

Linda
mollypitcher5

smiley2
mollypitcher5

Ugh.. prayers for this island’s people

phoenixrising37

“Like” for the prayers………………………….
not for the devastation.

mollypitcher5

exactly.
I hope posting the vids doesn’t offend anyone. I want to see what we’re hearing about..plus I try to get it in my head what the possibles are for SC

phoenixrising37

No offense Molly, we want to KNOW what is happening, however horrific.

Dora

phoenixrising37

again, “like” for the ‘movement to a safe place (where would that be on an island!)’
NOT the devastation

Linda

What’s really frightening for the Bahamas is that they’re going to be under that constant pounding of Dorian until sometime Tuesday. That’s a long time to try to stay safe.

phoenixrising37

I had no idea “until sometime Tuesday” !!! (I read, but my psyche can take in only a little horror at the time)

Dora

mollypitcher5

ForGodandCountry

ForGodandCountry

Photos from mission last night. Notice “stadium effect” of eyewall.

phoenixrising37

It’s a monster, isn’t it FG&C …………………..

ozzytrumpster

Louder than the storm is gonna be the wahh climate change wailing

duchess01

duchess01

duchess01

phoenixrising37

Got your roller skates on, do you Duchess ?
On a roll today… thank you sweet lady… appreciate all you do.

duchess01

Yes, but I could use some butter, pr – lol

phoenixrising37

you’re too funny! Been around Marica a lot, have you !

duchess01

She does rub off on one occasionally – lol

duchess01

duchess01

duchess01

Sadie Slays

“Dorian is the fifth Cat 5 in the Atlantic since 2016, joining Michael (2018), Irma (2017), Maria (2017), and Matthew (2016). This makes 2019 the fourth year in a row the Atlantic basin has had at least one hurricane reach Cat 5 strength, beating the previous record, a three-year stretch from 2003 to 2005. Including Dorian, there have been 35 Category 5 hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).”
Mmmhmmm.
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Historic-Catastrophic-Hurricane-Dorian-Pounding-Bahamas-185-mph-Winds

ForGodandCountry

bias confirmation
Mmmhmmm.

andyocoregon

Marsh Harbor, Bahamas very recently

smiley2

nasty…the tail end, after the eye passes over, is often much worse impact than the front of the thing….brutal, slow and violent…relentless.

Sadie Slays

Interesting digits:
“In the 8-hour period ending at 12:45 pm EDT Sunday, Dorian put on a rare show of rapid intensification—its already-formidable 150 mph winds increased to 185 mph, and the central pressure dropped from 934 to 911 mb.”
911 mb!
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Historic-Catastrophic-Hurricane-Dorian-Pounding-Bahamas-185-mph-Winds

rf121

Once these weather guessers start looking at the sun they may start understanding some of these “unexpected” intensification’s.Two large coronal holes were earth facing this week increasing the solar wind which has been shown to intensify weather events when the wind hits our atmosphere.

ozzytrumpster

Stop talking real science. You’ll upset the climate numpties

ForGodandCountry

Didnt you know? The Deep State can control sun spots, too, not just create and aim hurricanes.
/S

ozzytrumpster

So THIS is what happens when your I AM god complex gets out of control

gil00
andyocoregon

Not a bad idea. Many people who live in manufactured homes in the midwest use over-the-roof tie downs for strong storms and tornadoes.

mollypitcher5

If I ever make it to Carolina to live..I’d consider this..I’ve read that if the wind or object breaks windows the pressure build and blows out the roof /walls. Something like this looks stupid but it might be a good idea. Don’t think it could hurt!

smiley2

I agree !

gil00

I thought it was a joke but some comments say it may work.

ozzytrumpster

Seen tie down point into concrete pads at caravan parks

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋

Hey don’t laugh! I lost my little Lifetime shed in Ike. When I put up a new one, I put those tie downs on it, not gonna lose this one, it was $1,000!!! Now I do agree, if you need those on your house, then you got BIGGER problems, LOL 😂😂

mollypitcher5

Like Cheryl’s she shed? lolol
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ffs4gSJjjV4

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋

Lol! The shed I lost was a small 3’x8’, plus one side of fence, both totaled way less than my deductible. So no She Shed claim for me! 😊😊 A New 10’x12’ with tie downs I got! 😉 I bought materials and paid my nephew to fix my fence, cuz my dogs were getting out, then my neighbors went and replaced the whole dang thing on their insurance claim AFTER I spent all that money!! They didn’t even tell me and I found my dogs wandering loose while the whole thing was torn down, heffers!😡 So glad they moved!!

andyocoregon

I follow this guy’s flights in his paramotor on YouTube and a few months ago he flew over the Bahama Islands. This is similar to a drone camera flight, but it’s narrated by the pilot.
So, in other words, this is the Before video. It will be interesting to see the After videos in the weeks to come.

phoenixrising37

well now, ain’t that sumpin’ …………………
and upthread, Sadie……….. 911 mb ?
Being unfamiliar with term “mb” …………… I looked it up. Here’s explanation given for stats during Hurricane Michael
“… Along with wind speed, atmospheric pressure is a measure of storm intensity. In general, the lower a storm’s central pressure, the higher the winds. Michael’s central pressure of 919 millibars (mb) at landfall is the third lowest on record for a landfalling U. S. hurricane since reliable records began in 1900, trailing only the Labor Day Hurricane of 1935 (892 mb) and Hurricane Camille of 1969 (900 mb).”
where’s suspicious cat ?

phoenixrising37

Sadie,
we may some need some translation here – ‘course 911 is itself a trigger… but the mb for LANDFALL for Dorian is pretty dang low!

Sadie Slays

The cabal uses “91” or “911” as a calling card (think 9/11, Route 91 festival, “shooting lasted 9-to-11 minutes”). When the NHC reports that the pressure at landfall was 911 mb, it gets my noggin’ joggin’.

phoenixrising37

Thanks Sadie………

ozzytrumpster

My you are one super suspicious cat. And hyper vigilant too.

Gail Combs

It is not suspicious at all.
We are looking at the beginnings of a Little Ice Age or possibly glaciation.
The Holocene interglacial, or MIS-1, is now 11,500 years old, or half a precessional cycle. Five of the 6 interglacials dating back to the Mid Pleistocene Transition have each lasted just half of a precessional cycle.
The ONLY thing that kicked the earth into a warmer cycle was a Grand Solar MAXIMUM.
MIS 11 spans two precession cycles which is what the Warmists base their thinking on. However Lisiecki and Raymo (Paleooceanography, 2005) produced an exhaustive analysis of 57 globally distributed deep ocean cores reaching back about 5 million years.

However, the June 21 insolation minimum at 65N during MIS 11 is only 489 W/m2, much less pronounced than the present minimum of 474 W/m2. In addition, current insolation values are not predicted to return to the high values of late MIS 11 for another 65 kyr. We propose that this effectively precludes a ‘double precession-cycle’ interglacial [e.g., Raymo, 1997] in the Holocene without human influence.”

Since then no one in Quaternary Science has rebutted Lisiecki and Raymo. Not a fact to give one warm fussy feelings. Their research says no warming for ‘another 65 thousand years’ and a good possibility of a return to the Ice Box ‘without human influence’
The summer solstice insulation minimum during MIS-11 at 65N was 489 Watt/m2 and it was 474 Watt/m2 in ~2005 (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005). You need 15 Watt/m2 to get UP to the insolation minimum in MIS-11.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Schimel, 1996] estimated that the change solar forcing between 1850 (start of the industrial age] and 1990 was only •0.3 W/m 2 at the top of the atmosphere vs. 1.5 W/m 2 for forcing anthropogenic CO2 [cf., Reid, 1997]. That’s one tenth of what it would take to get up to the MIS-11 value.
A fall 2012 paper “Can we predict the duration of an interglacial?”
gives the 21 June solar insolation @ 65◦ N for termination of several interglacials. Current Solar insolation = 479 W m−2
MIS 7e – insolation = 463 W m−2,
MIS 11c – insolation = 466 W m−2,
MIS 13a – insolation = 500 W m−2,
MIS 15a – insolation = 480 W m−2,
MIS 17 – insolation = 477 W m−2
This give you a feel for how close to glaciation we are, you can look at the calculations from NOAA too::
http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/climate_forcing/orbital_variations/berger_insolation/insol91.jun
Low point of the last ice age – around 463 Wm−2
NOW (modern Warm Period) — 476Wm-2 (13 Wm-2 higher than Ice age low point)
Holocene peak insolation — 522.5 Wm-2 (46.5 Wm-2 higher than present)
Are we headed into glaciation? Who the heck knows the battle is still raging.
But you can see the earth is now in the middle of the range for glacial inception. 😱
Whether the earth sinks into full glaciation or bumps along at the edge really does not matter. The weather is going to be a climatic “madhouse” aka MORE NASTY HURICANES AND HIGH WINDS!
“The lesson from the last interglacial “greenhouse” in the Bahamas is that the closing of that interval brought sea-level changes that were rapid and extreme. This has prompted the remark that between the greenhouse and the icehouse lies a climatic “madhouse”! — Neuman and Hearty (1996)
Data from the beginning of the Little Ice Age validates the climatic “madhouse” as the earth cools.

andyocoregon

No, No, I want warmer winters. Saves on the heating bills. 🙂

Gail Combs

That is why I moved to mid NC just below the snowline!
Not too hot. Snow once every five years or so, 200 miles inland and on top of a ridge so no flooding and not much hurricane damage. Very few earthquakes and a tornado only once in a while.

ozzytrumpster

Stellar planning

Deplorable Patriot

There’s pros and cons both ways. Cold winters effect the stinging bug population, and kills off the weak ones. Warm winters yield fewer storms and fewer broken bones, and other snow shoveling related incidents.

andyocoregon

If cold winters kill bugs, why are there so many mosquitoes and other biting bugs in Alaska during the summer months?
https://www.onlyinyourstate.com/alaska/bugs-found-in-ak/

Deplorable Patriot

The coast is actually a rain forest. It’s not tundra like the rest of the place. And the article says that when it gets colder, some of those bugs get nastier. They’ve adapted.

duchess01

President Trump attends FEMA briefing on Hurricane Dorian

smiley2

comment image

GA/FL

Warning to Floridians:

duchess01

Dunno when this video was made – however – she said the ‘eye’ of the storm as not arrived just yet…
Powerful Hurricane Dorian impacting Bahamas with intense wind and rain

smiley2

latest Rainfall Forecastcomment image

andyocoregon

Hey now, that’s just disgusting!
😉

smiley2

well hey now Cadimus…is this you…comment image
😀 <3

Deplorable Patriot

Brad Pitt could certainly play him.

smiley2

from NOAA….comment image

smiley2

early rainbands starting ti whip around south Florida…storm’s expanding in size, too.

smiley2

geez Cat 5 typo alert!comment image
=^-^=

GA/FL

Yikes – it’s moving straight west!!!!

smiley2

IKR better start making that turn North PDQ !

smiley2

4 pm Wind Field ….

Sadie Slays

NEW CONE – HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR FLORIDA!comment image

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋

Is it me or does it look like it shifted a nudge to the west again?? Argh!!! That’s what I hate about it moving sooo slow.

Deplorable Patriot

Yes. My brother’s family cancelled their flight reservations for tomorrow. All bets are off for later, though.

smiley2

NOTICE : MIAMI BRIDGES …Miami, Florida….

smiley2

current radar loopcomment image

smiley2

early bands actually arriving in south Florida from the north now….
https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/naples/34102/weather-radar/337577
might have to click on arrow there to activate it…?

andyocoregon
GA/FL

Looking into the eye of Dorian….

smiley2

ghastly thing

kea

Have they yelled about ‘global warming yet?’

Gail Combs

As I stated above it is COOLING that gives you unsettled weather.
Little ICE AGE STORMINESS

The enhanced thermal gradient between latitudes about 50° and 60–65°N in this part of the world is thought to have provided a basis for the development of some greater wind storms in these latitudes than have occurred in most of the last 100 years, though there are signs that in about the last decade or two storminess has been increasing again.
http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-94-015-7692-5_34

The onset of the Little Ice Age (around 1350 AD), however, shows an intensified bottom current circulation most probably due to amplifying westerly winds and a decrease in water temperatures in connection with more frequent advances of higher saline Atlantic waters. The Little Ice Age can be divided into 3 phases: a stormy “zonal” onset, a calm “meridional” maximum and a stormy “zonal” end. The stormy phases are characterized by a sedimentation mode similar to that of recent winter conditions while the Little Ice Age Maximum shows conditions comparable to exceptional cold modern winters.”
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/003101829500114X

Although our data may not be statistically accurate, an increasing level of storm surge elevations over the recent Holocene is observed with a particular maximum during the Little Ice Age.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0025322795000613

Instrumental and documentary records of storminess along the Atlantic coast of western Europe show that storm activity exhibits strong spatial and temporal variability at annual and decadal scales. There is evidence of periods of increased storminess during the Little Ice Age (LIA) (AD 1570–1990), and archival records show that these periods are also associated with sand movement in coastal areas.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618208000190

andyocoregon

CNN blames this hurricane on Climate Change.
They also blame the drought in the Sudan desert on Climate Change.
And all floods are blamed by CNN on Climate Change.
CNN even blames earthquakes on Climate Change.
Climate Change is the new Black.

GA/FL

This year there are many more certified meteorologists standing up against the CC/GW hoax!!!

GA/FL

President Trump is giving everyone courage to stand against the leftist PC, GW, CC, etc. crap!!!!!!!!

kea

Reminds me of the book about the September 8, 1900 hurricane in the seaside town of Galveston, Texas
AKA Isaac’s Storm: A Man, a Time, and the Deadliest Hurricane in History by Erik Larson

smiley2

well…here we go Florida …for Collier County (Naples)…
severe weather alert issued….
https://www.google.org/publicalerts/alert?aid=4aece84881a9468a&hl=en&gl=US&source=wweather
60 mph gusts coming…rain…
the sky is now pitch black ….like a gigantic wicked bruise across the sky from the east, the north and the south.
Dorian sucks.

andyocoregon

A few hours ago I saw on the Weather.com map a large, orange blog right over Naples, Florida. That indicates thunderstorms and lots of rain.

smiley2

we had strong thunderstorms , some lightning, some wind….but it blew thru pretty fast, thankfully….4am now and fairly calm but cloudy.
just waiting and praying for the wretched thing to TURN NORTH.

duchess01

duchess01

LIVE COVERAGE: Tracking Hurricane Dorian

Harry Lime

Everyone in this things path…please stay safe! And come back to the Q-Tree as soon as feasible…after you take care of your property and loved ones…and restore power.

Gail Combs

Besides shelter DRINKING WATER is a major priority.
I already mentioned chlorox for disinfecting water. Disaster Preparedness and Purifying Water | Clorox®
I forgot to mention buying coffee filters and a funnel for removing solids.
We can live for a couple of weeks without food, but we HAVE TO HAVE WATER.

phoenixrising37
Dora

mollypitcher5

Oh..that tears me up

singingsoul1

God have Mercy.

Sadie Slays

Well, this is horrifying…
[video src="https://i.imgur.com/Cjcc9DR.mp4" /]

Sadie Slays

View post on imgur.com

BAH

mollypitcher5

Another soul asking for prayer

phoenixrising37

President Trump Impromptu Presser From South Lawn – (Video and Transcript)…back at the White House from Camp David, and just prior to a visit to FEMA Headquarters

mollypitcher5

FG&C….. wow… some brave pilots

ForGodandCountry

Honestly, it’s all relative. Here’s what I mean.
Example #1…..Charles Lindbergh’s non-stop transcontental flight to France in May 1927. He was alone, and in a single engine…a piston engine!….airplane.
Now THAT took cajones. Massive, big, Trump-taking-on-the-Deep State balls. Moreso, in fact, than Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin landing on the moon.
Here’s why.
Example #2….these hurricane hunter pilots.
First off, these guys (and gals!) in this particular video are flying a plane that has been in service since 1956. Yeah…1956!! You’ve seen one before….lots of times. It’s the C130 Hercules….comment image
This plane is SO tried and true it is not only the longest serving aircraft in the US military….not only the longest serving airplane in the entire world, in fact….in service all over the world by dozens of nations….it is also STILL in production (ie. They are still making brand new ones!). It is also one of the most RUGGED & RELIABLE aircraft ever made, utilizing four (4) massive and highly reliable turboprop engines (ie. turbine engines that spin propellers). [Note: the other hurricane hunting aircraft that flys INTO hurricanes is the P3 Orion, in service since 1962]
Second, these aircrew aren’t the first to fly into a hurricane. They know it can be done safely, and even moreso in this plane.
Are there risks involved? Do the crews need to be highly trained? Hell yes! But those risks are relative.
These crews deserve our respect and thanks, for sure, but not the jaw-dropping awe of a Lingbergh. Even the Apollo spacecraft had been tried and well tested prior to the first landing on the moon….with gov’t money and resources, no less. That doesn’t take away anything from the Apollo guys, at all. But on a comparative basis, heck….Lindbergh was a hero to Armstrong, and both those guys to the hurricane hunters.
It LOOKS scary, and for sure is a turbulent and uncomfortable ride getting into and out of the eye, but so common and “doable” as to be no big thing. Relatively speaking.
Would I go with Lindbergh not knowing if he’d make it? Hell no!
Would I go with the hurricane hunters? In a heartbeat, and twice on Sundays after church.
FWIW

andyocoregon

NOAA also uses the P3-Orion aircraft, also tried and true. Of course they are update from the 1950’s airplanes they used to be.
https://www.businessinsider.com/hurricane-hunters-noaa-air-force-planes-2019-8

Sadie Slays

NEW CONE!comment image

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋

Oh crap! More land, more states!!!

Dora
phoenixrising37

ck out this guy’s twitter profile

phoenixrising37
Sadie Slays

I strongly recommend the new Tropical Tidbits video, which does an excellent job of explaining the latest hurricane forecasts. Possible Cape Canaveral landfall (8:13 in the video)!

Katie

He’s REALLY good at explaining the complex details in a way that the average person can understand. Sure hope Cape Canaveral doesn’t get hit with the worst of it.

Sadie Slays

Levi has a real talent for giving a straightforward explanation that anyone can understand and without the over-the-top hype. He has a very nice career ahead of him. Strongly recommend his videos.

duchess01
phoenixrising37

US Dept of Defense put out a THREAD today –

phoenixrising37

oops, I misspoke, it’s a video …. there are comments, but mostly from Bots

Sadie Slays

NEW CONE – 11 pmcomment image

rf121

Bet these folks where wishing they were working It’s A Small World in Disneyland. Hmm, on second thought, probably would take the hurricane.
https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1168358601502732290?s=20

TheseTruths

That song does get stuck in one’s head! But I can’t believe Disney left anyone on the island. We’ve known this was coming for days, and videos of Bahamians begging for prayer are heartbreaking.

🦋🦋bflyjesusgrl🦋🦋